Al Franken Democrat Senator from Minnesota won his election in 2008 with a victory margin of just 312 votes. Obama’s 2008 victory in North Carolina was decided by only 14,177 votes.
Illegal votes cast by non-citizens could make the difference which party controls the upper house. Democrats say voting by non-citizens are so rare as to be inconsequential, and that efforts by mostly Republicans to block fraud by requiring I.D. prevent poor and minority voters from exercising the franchise.
while others define such incidents as a threat to democracy itself. Both sides depend more heavily on anecdotes than data.
In a forthcoming article in the journal Electoral Studies, we bring real data from big social science survey datasets to bear on the question of whether, to what extent, and for whom non-citizens vote in U.S. elections. Most non-citizens do not register, let alone vote. But enough do that their participation can change the outcome of close races.
The Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES) collected data on illegals who are registered and illegals that actually voted. Some believe as much as 6.4 percent of non-citizens voted in the 2008 Presidential Election.
Illegals it is deemed tend to cast ballots for Democrats (Obama won more than 80 percent of the votes of non-citizens in the 2008 CCES sample). It is plausible illegals could have thrown elections in favor of Democrats in a few close elections. 60 Senators are all that is needed to block filibusters. Enactment of laws in Congress that are opposed by a majority of Americans could be a result of illegal votes.
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